Kuyo yonke imimandla yaseLatin America, ukukhula kwe-GDP kuphantse kube ngaphezulu kwe-2%, ngokutsho kwe-ECLAC.
UCharles W. Thurston, intatheli yaseLatin America03.31.25
Imfuno eqinileyo yaseBrazil yezinto zokupenda kunye nezinto zokugquma ikhule nge-6% ngo-2024, ngokuyintloko iphinda kabini ukunyuka kwemveliso yelizwe. Kwiminyaka edlulileyo, eli shishini lidla ngokudlula isantya se-GDP ngepesenti enye okanye ezimbini, kodwa kunyaka ophelileyo, umlinganiselo ukhawulezile, ngokutsho kwengxelo yakutshanje ye-Abrafati, i-Associação Brasileira dos Fabricantes de Tintas.
“Imarike yepeyinti neengubo zaseBrazil iphele ngo-2024 ngentengiso erekhodiweyo, idlule zonke izibikezelo ezibonelelweyo kulo nyaka. Isantya sentengiso sihlale siqinile unyaka wonke kuzo zonke iintlobo zeemveliso, sinyusa umthamo uwonke ukuya kwi-1.983 yeebhiliyoni zeelitha — iilitha ezili-112 lezigidi ngaphezulu kunonyaka ophelileyo, nto leyo emele ukukhula kwe-6.0% — idlula nezinga le-5.7% ngo-2021, unyaka othathwa njengowohlukileyo kushishino,” utshilo uFabio Humberg, umlawuli we-Abrafati de comunicação e relações institucionais, kwi-imeyile eya kwi-CW.
“Umthamo wowama-2024 — omalunga neelitha ezi-2 zeebhiliyoni — umele iziphumo ezilungileyo kuthotho lwembali kwaye sele wenze iBrazil yaba ngumvelisi wesine ngobukhulu emhlabeni, idlula iJamani,” utshilo uHumberg.
Ukukhula Kwengingqi Phantse Kube Phantsi
Kuyo yonke imimandla yaseLatin America, ukukhula kweGDP kuphantse kube ngaphezulu kwe-2%, ngokutsho kweKhomishini yezoQoqosho ye-Latin America kunye neCaribbean (ECLAC) yeZizwe eziManyeneyo. “Ngo-2024, uqoqosho lwale ngingqi lwanda nge-2.2% eqikelelweyo, kwaye ngo-2025, ukukhula kwengingqi kuqikelelwe kwi-2.4%,” batsho njalo abahlalutyi beCandelo loPhuhliso loQoqosho le-ECLAC kwi-Preliminary Overview of the Economies of Latin America and the Caribbean, ekhutshwe ngasekupheleni kuka-2024.
“Nangona uqikelelo lowama-2024 nowama-2025 lungaphezulu komndilili kule minyaka ilishumi idlulileyo, ukukhula koqoqosho kuya kuhlala kuphantsi. Ukukhula okuphakathi konyaka kule minyaka ilishumi idlulileyo ukuya kowama-2015-2024 kumi kwi-1%, nto leyo ebonisa ukungaguquguquki kwe-GDP ngomntu ngamnye ngelo xesha,” yatsho ingxelo. Amazwe alo mmandla ajongene nento i-ECLAC eyibize ngokuba “ngumgibe wokukhula okuncinci.”
Ukukhula kwengingqi engaphantsi kwelizwe bekungalingani, kwaye le ndlela iyaqhubeka, icebisa i-ECLAC. “Kwinqanaba lengingqi engaphantsi kwelizwe, eMzantsi Melika nakwiqela eliquka iMexico neMelika Ephakathi, amazinga okukhula aye ehla ukusuka kwisiqingatha sesibini sowama-2022. EMzantsi Melika, ukwehla kwezoqoqosho kuyabonakala ngakumbi xa iBrazil ingabandakanywanga, njengoko elo lizwe linyusa izinga lokukhula kwe-GDP yengingqi ngenxa yobukhulu bayo kunye nokusebenza okungcono; ukukhula kuxhomekeke ngakumbi ekusetyenzisweni kwabucala,” iphawula ingxelo.
“Olu qikelelo lokungasebenzi kakuhle lubonisa ukuba kwixesha eliphakathi, igalelo loqoqosho lwaseLatin America naseCaribbean ekukhuleni kwehlabathi, oluchazwa ngamanqaku epesenti, luya kuncitshiswa phantse ngesiqingatha,” icebisa ingxelo.
Idatha kunye neemeko zamazwe aphambili eLatin America ziyalandela.
Brazil
Ukwanda okukhulu kokusetyenziswa kwepeyinti kunye neengubo eBrazil ngo-2024 kuxhaswe kukukhula koqoqosho ngokubanzi kwe-3.2% kweli lizwe. Uqikelelo lwe-GDP lowama-2025 lucotha, kwi-2.3%, ngokweziqikelelo ze-ECLAC. Iziqikelelo zeBhanki yeHlabathi ziyafana naseBrazil.
Ngokwecandelo lemizi-mveliso yokupenda, ukusebenza kweBrazil bekuqinile kuzo zonke iibhodi, kukhokelwa licandelo leemoto. “Bekukho ukukhula kuzo zonke iintlobo zeemveliso ezivela kushishino lokupenda nokufaka iipayinti [ngo-2024], okuphawuleka kakhulu kwiipayinti ze-OEM zeemoto, okuthe kwenzeka emva kokunyuka okukhulu kwintengiso yeemoto,” utshilo u-Abrafati.
Intengiso yezithuthi ezintsha eBrazil kuquka iibhasi kunye neelori yonyuke nge-14% ngo-2024 yaya kutsho kwinqanaba eliphezulu leminyaka eli-10, ngokutsho kwe-Associacao Nacional dos Fabricantes de Veiculos Automotores (Anfavea). Intengiso yonyaka wonke yayifikelela kwi-2.63 yezigidi zeemoto ngo-2024, nto leyo ebuyisela ilizwe kwinqanaba lesibhozo ngobukhulu kwihlabathi liphela phakathi kweemarike, ngokutsho kombutho. (Jonga i-CW 1/24/25).
“Iingubo zokulungisa iimoto zikwabone intengiso ikhula ngesantya se-3.6%, ngenxa yokwanda kwentengiso yeemoto ezintsha – okunefuthe ekuthengisweni kweemoto ezisetyenzisiweyo kunye nenkcitho ekulungisweni ngenxa yokulindela ezo ntengiso – kunye nenqanaba eliphezulu lokuzithemba kwabathengi,” utshilo u-Abrafati.
Iipeyinti zokuhombisa nazo ziqhubekile nokubonisa ukusebenza kakuhle, ngomthamo orekhodiweyo weelitha ezili-1.490 zeebhiliyoni (onyuke nge-5.9% ukusuka kunyaka ophelileyo), u-Abrafati uqikelela. “Esinye sezizathu zokusebenza kakuhle kweepeyinti zokuhombisa kukuhlanganiswa komkhwa wabantu abanyamekela amakhaya abo, ukuze bawenze indawo yentuthuzelo, indawo yokusabela kunye nokuphila kakuhle, ebikho ukusukela oko kwaqala ubhubhane,” ucebise u-Abrafati.
“Okongezelela kuloo mkhwa kukwanda kokuzithemba kwabathengi, njengoko abathengi beziva benokhuseleko olukhulu lomsebenzi kunye nengeniso, nto leyo ebalulekileyo kubo ekugqibeni ukuba bachithe imali eninzi kwimpahla yabo,” ucacise watsho umongameli ophetheyo wase-Abrafati uLuiz Cornacchioni kwinqaku.
Iingubo zoshishino nazo zibonise ukukhula okuqinileyo, okwakhuthazwa ziinkqubo zophuhliso zikarhulumente ezaqalwa ekupheleni kuka-2023 phantsi koMongameli uLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva.
“Enye into ebalaseleyo ngo-2024 yayikukusebenza kweengubo zoshishino, ezikhule ngobuninzi ngaphezu kwe-6.3% xa kuthelekiswa no-2023. Zonke iindawo zomgca weengubo zoshishino zibonise ukukhula okuphezulu, ingakumbi ngenxa yokuthengiswa okuqinileyo kwezinto ezihlala ixesha elide zabathengi kunye nokuqhubela phambili kwiiprojekthi zeziseko zophuhliso (ezikhuthazwe zizinto ezifana nonyaka wonyulo kunye neekhontrakthi ezinikwe icandelo labucala),” utshilo u-Abrafati.
Iziseko zophuhliso zizinto eziphambili kwiNkqubo karhulumente yokuKhawulezisa uKhulo olutsha (iNovo PAC), isicwangciso sotyalo-mali se-$347 yeebhiliyoni esijolise kwiziseko zophuhliso, uphuhliso, kunye neeprojekthi zokusingqongileyo, ezijolise ekuphuhliseni yonke imimandla yelizwe ngokulinganayo (Jonga i-CW 11/12/24).
“I-Novo PAC ibandakanya ubudlelwane obuqinileyo phakathi korhulumente wobumbano kunye necandelo labucala, amazwe, oomasipala, kunye neentshukumo zentlalo kumzamo odibeneyo nozinikeleyo wokutshintsha kwendalo, uphuhliso lwemizi-mveliso emitsha, ukukhula kunye nokubandakanywa koluntu, kunye nokuzinza kwendalo,” itsho iwebhusayithi kamongameli.
Abadlali abakhulu kwimarike yepeyinti, iipeyinti kunye neeglu (ii-NAICS CODES: 3255) ziquka ezi zintlanu, ngokutsho kukaDunn noBradstreet:
• I-Oswaldo Crus Quimica Industria e Comercio, esekelwe eGuarulhos, kwilizwe laseSao Paulo, kunye neentengiso zonyaka ze-$ 271.85 yezigidi.
• IHenkel, ese-Itapevi, kwiphondo laseSao Paulo, ineedola ezili-140.69 lezigidi zeerandi ezithengisiweyo.
• Ukubulala i-S/A Tintas e Adesivos, eseNovo Hamburgo, eRio Grande Do Sul state, nge-$129.14 yezigidi zeentengiso.
• URenner Sayerlack, ohlala eSao Paulo, enentengiso ye-$111.3 yezigidi.
• I-Sherwin-Williams do Brasil Industria e Comercio, esekelwe eTaboao Da Serra, kwiphondo laseSao Paulo, kunye ne-$ 93.19 yezigidi kwiintengiso.
Ajentina
IArgentina, engummelwane weBrazil phakathi kwamazwe aseSouthern Cone, ikulungele ukubuyisa ukukhula okunamandla kwe-4.3% kulo nyaka emva kokuncipha kwe-3.2% ngo-2024, ikakhulu ngenxa yesikhokelo soqoqosho esiqatha sikaMongameli uJavier Milei. Olu qikelelo lwe-GDP lwe-ECLAC alunathemba kangako kuneqikelelo lwe-International Monetary Fund lokukhula kwe-5% eArgentina ngo-2025.
Ixesha lokukhula ngokutsha kwezindlu eArgentina kulindeleke ukuba likhulise imfuno yeepeyinti kunye neengubo zobugcisa (Jonga i-CW 9/23/24). Olunye utshintsho olubalulekileyo eArgentina kukuphela kokunyuka kwerenti kunye nolawulo lwexesha lokuqeshisa kwimarike yezindlu zokuhlala. Ngo-Agasti 2024, uMilei walahla uMthetho wokuQeshisa ka-2020 owamiselwa yinkampani yangaphambili.
ulawulo lwasekhohlo.
Ukuhlaziya amagumbi asele ebuyele kwimarike evulekileyo kungabonakalisa ukonyuka kweengubo zokwakha ukuya kuthi ga kwixabiso eliphantse libe yi-$650 yezigidi ekupheleni kuka-2027 emva kokukhula ngesantya sokukhula sonyaka esidibeneyo (CAGR) esimalunga ne-4.5% kwixesha leminyaka emihlanu phakathi kuka-2022 no-2027, ngokutsho kophando olwenziwe yi-IndustryARC.
Iinkampani ezinkulu zokupenda neengubo eArgentina, ngokwe-D&B, ziquka:
• I-Akzo Nobel Argentina, eseGarín, kwiphondo laseBuenos Aires, intengiso ayichazwanga.
• I-Ferrum SA de Ceramica y Metalurgia, eseAvellaneda, eBuenos Aires, ngentengiso ye-116.06 yezigidi zeedola ngonyaka.
• I-Chemotecnica, eseCarlos Spegazzini, eBuenos Aires, intengiso ayichazwanga.
• IMapei Argentina, ese-Escobar, eBuenos Aires, iintengiso azichazwanga.
• I-Akapol, eseVilla Ballester, eBuenos Aires, iintengiso azichazwanga.
Kholambiya
Ukukhula okuya kubuyela esiqhelweni eColombia kuqikelelwa ukuba kuza kwenzeka ngo-2025 nge-2.6% xa kuthelekiswa ne-1.8% ngo-2024, ngokutsho kwe-ECLAC. Oku kuza kubonisa ukuba kuza kwenzeka kakuhle
icandelo loyilo lwezakhiwo.
“Imfuno yasekhaya iya kuba yeyona nto iphambili ekukhuleni kweminyaka emibini ezayo. Ukusetyenziswa kweempahla, okubone ukuchacha okuncinci ngo-2024, kuya kwanda kakhulu ngo-2025 ngenxa yezinga lenzala eliphantsi kunye nengeniso ephezulu yokwenyani,” babhala abahlalutyi kwi-BBVA kwimbono yelizwe ngoMatshi 2025.
Uphuhliso lweziseko zophuhliso, oluqala ukwanda, luya kuphakamisa imfuno yeengubo zoshishino. Iiprojekthi ezinkulu, ezifana nesikhululo seenqwelo-moya esitsha saseCartegena, zicwangciselwe ukuqala ukwakhiwa kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2025.
“Ukugxila kukarhulumente kwiziseko zophuhliso, kuquka ezothutho, amandla kunye neziseko zophuhliso loluntu (izikolo kunye nezibhedlele), kuya kuhlala kuyintsika ephambili yesicwangciso soqoqosho. Iiprojekthi ezibalulekileyo ziquka ukwandiswa kweendlela, iinkqubo zemetro kunye nokuhlaziywa kweechweba,” baxela abahlalutyi baseGleeds.
“Icandelo lemisebenzi yoluntu liqhubekile nokumangaliswa ngokukhula nge-13.9% kwikota yesibini ka-2024 kuthotho lwayo oluhlengahlengisiweyo lwexesha lonyaka, emva kwekota ezintlanu ezilandelelanayo zokuncipha. Nangona kunjalo, lihlala licandelo elisezantsi kakhulu kuqoqosho lonke, lime ngama-36% ngaphantsi kwamanqanaba angaphambi kobhubhane,” bongeza abahlalutyi beGleeds.
Abadlali abakhulu kwimarike njengoko bebekwe ngokwe-D&B ngaba balandelayo:
• I-Compania Global de Pinturas, eseMedellin, kwisebe lase-Antioquia, ineedola ezingama-219.33 ezigidi zeerandi kwintengiso yonyaka.
• I-Invesa, ese-Envigado, e-Antioquia, ineentengiso ze-$117.62 yezigidi.
• I-Coloquimica, esekelwe eLa Estrella, e-Antioquia, kunye ne-$ 68.16 yezigidi zeentengiso.
• I-Sun Chemical Colombia, eseMedellin, e-Antioquia. ineentengiso ze-$62.97 yezigidi.
• I-PPG Industries eColombia, ese-Itagui, e-Antioquia, ineentengiso ze-$55.02 yezigidi.
Pharaguwayi
Phakathi kwamazwe aseLatin America okulindeleke ukuba akhule ngokukhawuleza kukho iParaguay, ekucingelwa ukuba iya kwandisa i-GDP yayo nge-4.2% kulo nyaka, emva kokukhula kwe-3.9% kunyaka ophelileyo, i-ECLAC ibika.
“I-GDP eParaguay iqikelelwa ukuba yi-$45 yeebhiliyoni ekupheleni kuka-2024 ngokwemigangatho yamaxabiso angoku e-GDP. Ukujonga phambili ukuya ku-2025, uqikelelo lubonisa ukuba uqikelelo lwe-GDP yaseParaguay ka-2025 lunokuba yi-$46.3 yeebhiliyoni. Uqoqosho lwaseParaguay lukhule ngesantya sokukhula sonyaka esiphakathi kwe-6.1% kwiminyaka emine edlulileyo kwaye lubekwe kwindawo ye-15 ngobukhulu kwezoqoqosho eMelika, ngaphambi kwe-Uruguay,” ixela iWorld Economics, abahlalutyi baseLondon.
Ukuveliswa kwezinto ezincinci kuyaqhubeka nokuba yinxalenye enkulu yoqoqosho lwaseParaguay. “I-BCP [iBhanki Ephakathi yaseParaguay] iqikelela ukuba [u-2025] uza kuba nempumelelo kushishino lwaseParaguay, kugxininiswa kwicandelo le-maquila (ukuhlanganiswa nokugqitywa kweemveliso). Imbono yoshishino luphela kukukhula kwe-5%” yabika i-H2Foz, ngoDisemba 2024.
Utyalo-mali kwiziseko zophuhliso luya kunceda ngakumbi ukwenziwa kwemveliso eParaguay.
“I-OPEC Fund for International Development (ngoJanuwari) ibhengeze ukuba ibonelela ngemali mboleko ye-$50 yezigidi kwiParaguay yokuxhasa ukuvuselelwa, ukuphuculwa kunye nokugcinwa kweNational Route PY22 kunye neendlela zokufikelela kwisebe laseConcepción elikumantla eParaguay. Ixhaswe ngemali mboleko ye-$135 yezigidi evela kwiCAF (iBhanki yoPhuhliso yaseLatin America kunye neCaribbean),” ixele iMiddle East Economy.
Iindlela kunye nokwakhiwa kweehotele ezintsha kuya kunceda iParaguay ukuba yandise ishishini layo lezokhenketho, elikhula ngokukhawuleza, kunye neendwendwe ezingaphezu kwezigidi ezingama-2.2, ngokutsho kwengxelo evela kwi-Paraguayan Secretariat of Tourism (Senatur). “Idatha, eqokelelwe ngokubambisana neCandelo lokuFuduka, ityhila ukwanda okukhulu kwe-22% kwinani labakhenkethi xa kuthelekiswa nowama-2023,” ixela iResumen de Noticias (RSN).
IiCaribbean
Njengengingqi encinci, iCaribbean kulindeleke ukuba ibonise ukukhula kwe-11% kulo nyaka, xa kuthelekiswa ne-5.7% ngo-2024, ngokutsho kwe-ECLAC (Jonga itshathi ye-ECLAC GDP). Kumazwe ali-14 athathwa njengenxalenye yengingqi encinci, iGuyana iboniswe ukukhula okungaqhelekanga kwe-41.5% kulo nyaka, xa kuthelekiswa ne-13.6% ngo-2024, ngenxa yokwanda ngokukhawuleza kweshishini leoyile elunxwemeni apho.
IBhanki yeHlabathi ixela ukuba imithombo yeoyile negesi yaseGuyana “ingaphezulu kweebhareli ezilingana neoyile ezili-11.2 leebhiliyoni, kuquka ne-17 trillion cubic feet yegesi yendalo enxulumene nayo.” Iinkampani ezininzi zeoyile zamazwe ngamazwe ziyaqhubeka nokwenza utyalo-mali olukhulu, nto leyo ekhokelele ekuqaleni kokuveliswa kweoyile ngo-2022 kweli lizwe.
Ukwanda kwengeniso okubangelwe yile nto kuya kunceda ekudaleni imfuno entsha yazo zonke iindawo zokupenda kunye neengubo. “Nangona, ngokwembali, i-GDP yaseGuyana ngomntu ngamnye yayiphakathi kwezona ziphantsi eMzantsi Melika, ukukhula koqoqosho okumangalisayo ukusukela ngo-2020, okuphakathi kwe-42.3% kwiminyaka emithathu edlulileyo, kuzise i-GDP ngomntu ngamnye ngaphezulu kwe-$18,199 ngo-2022, ukusuka kwi-$6,477 ngo-2019,” iWorld
Iingxelo zebhanki.
Abadlali abakhulu bepeyinti kunye neengubo kwingingqi engaphantsi, ngokutsho kophendlo lweGoogle AI, baquka:
• Abadlali beNgingqi: I-Lanco Paints & Coatings, uBerger, uHarris, uLee Wind, uPenta, kunye noRoyal.
• Iinkampani zamazwe ngamazwe: iPPG, iSherwin-Williams, iAxalta, uBenjamin Moore kunye neComex.
• Ezinye iinkampani ezidumileyo ziquka iRM Lucas Co. kunye neCaribbean Paint Factory Aruba.
Venezuwela
IVenezuela ibisoloko ingumntu ongaphandle kwezopolitiko eLatin America kangangeminyaka emininzi, nangona ilizwe linobutyebi beoyile negesi, phantsi kolawulo lukaMongameli uNicolás Maduro. I-ECLAC iqikelela ukuba uqoqosho luza kukhula nge-6.2% kulo nyaka, xa kuthelekiswa ne-3.1% ngo-2024.
Urhulumente kaTrump usenokuba uphosisa loo mbono wokukhula kwesi siganeko ngesibhengezo sasekupheleni kukaMatshi sokuba i-United States iza kunyanzelisa irhafu yokungenisa i-25% kulo naliphi na ilizwe elingenisa ioyile yaseVenezuela, ebalelwa kwi-90% yoqoqosho lweli lizwe.
Isibhengezo serhafu sifike emva kokurhoxiswa kwelayisenisi yeChevron yokufumana nokuvelisa ioyile kweli lizwe ngomhla wesi-4 kweyoKwindla. “Ukuba le ndlela idluliselwa nakwezinye iinkampani – kuquka iRepsol yaseSpain, iEni yase-Itali, kunye neMaurel & Prom yaseFransi – uqoqosho lwaseVenezuela lunokujongana nokwehla okukhulu kwemveliso yeoyile ekrwada, ukuncipha kokusasazwa kwepetroli, imakethi yotshintshiselwano lwangaphandle olubuthathaka, ukuhla kwexabiso, kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso,” kutsho iCaracas Chronicles.
Le nkampani yeendaba ikhankanya utshintsho lwakutshanje oluvela kwi-Ecoanalítica, “eluqikelela ukwehla kwe-GDP nge-2% ukuya kwi-3% ekupheleni kuka-2025, kunye nokwehla kwe-20% kwicandelo leoyile.” Abahlalutyi bayaqhubeka: “Zonke iimpawu zibonisa ukuba u-2025 uza kuba nzima ngakumbi kunokuba bekulindelwe ekuqaleni, kunye nokwehla okukhulu kwexesha elifutshane kwimveliso kunye nokwehla kwengeniso yeoyile.”
Phakathi kwamazwe ahamba phambili ekuthengeni ioyile yaseVenezuela kukho iTshayina, eyathi ngo-2023 yathenga i-68% yeoyile ethunyelwe ngaphandle yiVenezuela, ngokutsho kohlalutyo luka-2024 yi-US Energy Information Administration, i-EuroNews ibika. “ISpain, iIndiya, iRashiya, iSingapore kunye neVietnam nazo ziphakathi kwamazwe afumana ioyile evela eVenezuela, itsho ingxelo,” i-arhente yeendaba ibika.
“Kodwa ne-United States – nangona ihlawuliswe iVenezuela – ithenga ioyile kwelo lizwe. NgoJanuwari, i-United States ingenise iibhareli zeoyile ezizizigidi ezisi-8.6 ezivela eVenezuela, ngokutsho kwe-Census Bureau, kwiibhareli ezimalunga nezigidi ezingama-202 ezivela kuloo nyanga,” itsho i-EuroNews.
Kwilizwe, uqoqosho lusagxile ekuphuculeni izindlu, nto leyo efanele yonyuse imfuno yeepeyinti kunye neengubo zobugcisa. NgoMeyi 2024, urhulumente waseVenezuela waphawula isikhumbuzo seminyaka eli-13 senkqubo yakhe yeGreat Housing Mission (GMVV), ebhiyozela ikhaya lezigidi ezi-4.9 elinikezelwe kwiintsapho zabasebenzi, itsho iVenezuelanalysis. Le nkqubo inenjongo yokwakha izindlu ezizigidi ezi-7 ngo-2030.
Nangona abatyali-mali baseNtshona benokuba namahloni okwandisa ukuvezwa kwabo eVenezuela, iibhanki ezininzi zixhasa iiprojekthi zeziseko zophuhliso, kuquka iBhanki yoPhuhliso yaseLatin America naseCaribbean (CAF).
Ixesha leposi: Meyi-08-2025
