Kuwo wonke ummandla waseLatin America, ukukhula kweGDP kuphantse kwaba tyaba ngaphezulu kwe-2%, ngokwe-ECLAC.
UCharles W. Thurston, uMbhali waseLatin America03.31.25
Imfuno eyomeleleyo yaseBrazil yepeyinti kunye nemathiriyeli yokugquma ikhule yaqina nge-6% ngo-2024, ngokuyimfuneko iphinda kabini ukonyuka kwemveliso yasekhaya iyonke. Kwiminyaka edlulileyo, ishishini liye lagqithisa ukukhawulezisa kwe-GDP ngepesenti enye okanye ezimbini, kodwa kulo nyaka uphelileyo, umlinganiselo uye wakhawuleza, ngokutsho kwengxelo yakutshanje ka-Abrafati, i-Associação Brasileira dos Fabricantes de Tintas.
"Ipeyinti yaseBrazil kunye nemarike yokwambathisa yaphela ngo-2024 kunye neentengiso zerekhodi, ezidlula zonke izibikezelo ezinikezelwa ekuhambeni konyaka. Isantya sokuthengisa sahlala somelele unyaka wonke kuyo yonke imigca yemveliso, ukutyhala umthamo opheleleyo ukuya kwiilitha ze-1.983 zeebhiliyoni - i-112 yezigidi zeelitha ngaphezu konyaka odlulileyo, emele ukukhula kwe-6.0% ishishini,” udlulisele uFabio Humberg, umlawuli ka-Abrafati de comunicação e relações institucionais, kwi-imeyile eya kuCW.
Umthamo ka-2024 - ophantse ube ziibhiliyoni ezi-2 zeelitha - umele esona siphumo sibalaseleyo kuthotho lwembali kwaye sele yenze iBrazil yaba lilizwe lesine ngobukhulu emhlabeni, ukodlula iJamani,” utshilo u-Humberg.
Ukukhula kweNgingqi Kufuphi neFlat
Kummandla waseLatin America, ukukhula kwe-GDP kuphantse kwaba tyaba ngaphezulu nje kwe-2%, ngokweKomishoni yezoQoqosho yeZizwe eziManyeneyo yeLatin America kunye neCaribbean (ECLAC). "Ngo-2024, uqoqosho lommandla lwandiswe nge-2.2% eqikelelwayo, kwaye i-2025, ukukhula kwengingqi kuqikelelwa kwi-2.4%," kubalwe abahlalutyi beCandelo loPhuhliso loQoqosho lwe-ECLAC kwi-Preliminary Overview ye-Economies yaseLatin America kunye ne-Caribbean, ekhutshwe ekupheleni kwe-2024.
"Nangona iingqikelelo ze-2024 kunye ne-2025 zingaphezulu komyinge weshumi leminyaka, ukukhula koqoqosho kuya kuhlala kuphantsi. Umyinge wokukhula komnyaka weshumi leminyaka i-2015-2024 umi kwi-1%, ekhomba kwi-GDP yomntu ngamnye ngelo xesha," ingxelo yaphawula. Amazwe alo mmandla ajongene noko i-ECLAC yakubiza ngokuba “ngumgibe wokukhula okuphantsi.”
Ukukhula kommandla ongaphantsi kokungalingani, kwaye lo mkhwa uyaqhubeka, i-ECLAC icebisa. "Kwinqanaba le-subregional, zombini eMzantsi Melika kunye neqela elibandakanya iMexico kunye noMbindi Melika, izinga lokukhula liye lancipha ukusuka kwisiqingatha sesibini se-2022. EMzantsi Melika, ukucotha kwe-slowdown kubonakala ngakumbi xa iBrazil ingabandakanywanga, njengoko elo lizwe linyusa izinga lokukhula kwe-GDP ye-subregional ngenxa yobukhulu bayo kunye nokusebenza okungcono; ukukhula kukhula kuxhomekeke kwiingxelo zabucala.
“Olu qikelelo lwentsebenzo ebuthathaka lubonisa ukuba kwixesha eliphakathi, igalelo loqoqosho lweLatin America neCaribbean kuhlumo lwehlabathi, elichazwe ngokwepesenti, liza kuphantse libe ngesiqingatha,” icebisa njalo ingxelo.
Idatha kunye neemeko zamazwe aphambili eLatin America zilandela.
Brazil
Ukunyuka okubukhali kokusetyenziswa kwepeyinti kunye neengubo eBrazil ngo-2024 kwaxhaswa yi-3.2% yokukhula koqoqosho jikelele kwilizwe. Uqikelelo lwe-GDP ye-2025 lucotha, kwi-2.3%, ngokweengqikelelo ze-ECLAC. Uqikelelo lweBhanki yeHlabathi luyafana eBrazil.
Ngecandelo loshishino lwepeyinti, ukusebenza kweBrazil bekomelele kuzo zonke iibhodi, kukhokelwa licandelo leemoto. "Kwakukho ukukhula kuyo yonke imigca yemveliso evela kwishishini lepeyinti kunye neengubo zokugqoka [ngexesha le-2024], ngokugqithiseleyo kwiinqwelo ze-OEM zokugqoka, ezafika kwizithende zokunyuka okunamandla kwiintengiso zemoto," kusho uAbrafati.
Intengiso yaseBrazil yezithuthi ezitsha ezibandakanya iibhasi kunye neelori zinyuke nge-14% ngo-2024 ukuya kwiminyaka eyi-10 ephezulu, ngokutsho kwe-Associacao Nacional dos Fabricantes de Veiculos Automotores (Anfavea). Intengiso yonyaka ogcweleyo ifikelele kwi-2.63 yezigidi zeemoto ngo-2024, ibuyisela ilizwe kwindawo yesibhozo ngobukhulu phakathi kweemarike, ngokutsho kombutho. (Jonga CW 1/24/25).
"Ii-Automotive refinish coatings nayo yabona ukuthengisa kukhule ngesantya se-3.6%, ngenxa yokunyuka kokunyuka kweemoto ezintsha - ezineempembelelo ekuthengisweni kweemoto ezisetyenzisiweyo kunye nokuchitha imali ekulungiseni ukulindela ezo ntengiso - kunye nezinga eliphezulu lokuzithemba kwabathengi," u-Abrafati waphawula.
Iipeyinti ezihlobisayo nazo zaqhubeka zibonisa ukusebenza kakuhle, kunye nomthamo werekhodi ye-1.490 yeelitha zeebhiliyoni (ukunyuka kwe-5.9% ukusuka kunyaka odlulileyo), u-Abrafati ubala. "Esinye sezizathu zokwenziwa komsebenzi kakuhle kwiipeyinti zokuhombisa kukudityaniswa kwendlela abantu abakhathalela amakhaya abo, ukuze babenze indawo yentuthuzelo, indawo yokusabela kunye nentlalo-ntle, ebisoloko ikho ukusukela ubhubhane," utshilo u-Abrafati.
"Ukongezwa kuloo mkhwa kukunyuka kokuzithemba kwabathengi, njengoko abathengi bevakalelwa kukuba banomsebenzi omkhulu kunye nokhuseleko lwengeniso, eyona nto ibalulekileyo kubo ukuba bathathe isigqibo sokuchitha isambatho esitsha sepeyinti kwipropati yabo," umongameli we-Abrafati u-Luiz Cornacchioni wachaza kwinqaku.
Iingubo zamashishini ziphinde zathumela ukukhula okunamandla, okukhuthazwa yienkqubo zophuhliso lukarhulumente eziqaliswe ngasekupheleni kwe-2023 phantsi koMongameli uLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva.
"Enye into ephawulekayo ye-2024 yayiyintsebenzo yeengubo zoshishino, eziye zakhula ngomthamo ngaphezu kwe-6.3% ngokumalunga no-2023. Zonke iinxalenye zomgca we-industrial coatings wabonisa ukukhula okuphezulu, ngokukodwa ngenxa yokuthengisa okunamandla kwabathengi kunye nokuqhubela phambili kwiiprojekthi zeziseko zophuhliso (ezikhuthazwa yimiba efana nomnyaka wokhetho kunye nezivumelwano ezinikezelwa kwicandelo labucala)," uAbra.
Iziseko zophuhliso lugxininiso oluphambili lweNkqubo eNtsha yokuKhawuleza ukuHluma kukarhulumente (iNovo PAC), isicwangciso sotyalo-mali esizibhiliyoni ezingama-347 zeerandi esijolise kwiziseko ezingundoqo, uphuhliso, kunye neeprojekthi zokusingqongileyo, ezijolise ekuphuhliseni yonke imimandla yelizwe ngokulinganayo (Jonga iCW 11/12/24).
"I-Novo PAC ibandakanya intsebenziswano eyomeleleyo phakathi korhulumente womanyano kunye necandelo labucala, imimandla, oomasipala, kunye nemibutho yentlalontle kwinzame ezidibeneyo nezizibophelele ekuguqukeni kwezendalo, i-neo-industrialization, ukukhula kunye nokubandakanywa kwentlalo, kunye nokuzinza kokusingqongileyo," itshilo iwebhusayithi yomongameli.
Abadlali abakhulu kwipeyinti, iingubo kunye nemarike yokunamathela (NAICS CODES: 3255) ibandakanya ezi zintlanu, ngokutsho kukaDunn & Bradstreet:
• I-Oswaldo Crus Quimica Industria e Comercio, esekelwe eGuarulhos, kwilizwe laseSao Paulo, kunye neentengiso zonyaka ze-$ 271.85 yezigidi.
• I-Henkel, esekelwe e-Itapevi, kwilizwe laseSao Paulo, kunye ne-$ 140.69 yezigidi zeentengiso.
• Ukubulala i-S/A Tintas e Adesivos, eseNovo Hamburgo, eRio Grande Do Sul state, nge-$129.14 yezigidi zeentengiso.
• I-Renner Sayerlack, esekelwe eSao Paulo, kunye ne-$ 111.3 yezigidi zeentengiso.
• I-Sherwin-Williams do Brasil Industria e Comercio, esekelwe eTaboao Da Serra, kwiphondo laseSao Paulo, kunye ne-$ 93.19 yezigidi kwiintengiso.
Ajentina
I-Argentina, engummelwane waseBrazil phakathi kwamazwe ase-Southern Cone, ikulungele ukubuyisela ukukhula okunamandla kwe-4.3% kulo nyaka kwizithende ze-3.2% contraction ngexesha le-2024, ubukhulu becala umsebenzi wesikhokelo sezoqoqosho sikaMongameli uJavier Milei. Olu qikelelo lwe-GDP lwe-ECLAC alunathemba kangako lokuba iNgxowa-mali yeMali yaMazwe ngaMazwe iqikelele nge-5% yezinga lokukhula kwe-Argentina ngo-2025.
Ixesha lokukhula ngokutsha kwezindlu eArgentina kulindeleke ukuba lidumbe imfuno yepeyinti yokwakha kunye neengubo (Jonga iCW 9/23/24). Olunye utshintsho oluphambili eArgentina kukuphela kokunyuka kwerente kunye nolawulo lwexesha lokuqeshisa kwimakethi yendawo yokuhlala. Ngo-Agasti ka-2024, uMilei wawulahla uMthetho wokuRenta ka-2020 owamiselwa ngulowo wangaphambili.
ulawulo lwasekhohlo.
Ukuhlaziya amagumbi abuyele kwimakethi evulekileyo kunokungqina ukonyuka kophahla lwezakhiwo ukuya kwixabiso eliphantse libe yi-650 yezigidi zeedola ekupheleni kuka-2027 emva kokukhula ngesantya sokukhula sonyaka (CAGR) esimalunga ne-4.5% ngexesha leminyaka emihlanu phakathi kuka-2022 no-2027, ngokophononongo olwenziwa yi-IndustryARC.
Eyona nkampani inkulu yepeyinti kunye neyokugquma eArgentina, ngokwe D&B, ibandakanya:
• I-Akzo Nobel Argentina, eseGarín, kwiphondo laseBuenos Aires, intengiso ayichazwanga.
• I-Ferrum SA de Ceramica y Metalurgia, eseAvellaneda, eBuenos Aires, ngentengiso ye-116.06 yezigidi zeedola ngonyaka.
• I-Chemotecnica, eseCarlos Spegazzini, eBuenos Aires, intengiso ayikachazwa.
• IMapei Argentina, ese-Escobar, eBuenos Aires, iintengiso azichazwanga.
• I-Akapol, eseVilla Ballester, eBuenos Aires, iintengiso azichazwanga.
Kholambiya
Ukubuyisela ukukhula eColombia kuqikelelwe ngo-2025 kwi-2.6% xa kuthelekiswa ne-1.8% ngo-2024, ngokutsho kwe-ECLAC. Oku kuya kubonisa kakuhle ngokuphambili
icandelo loyilo.
"Imfuno yasekhaya iya kuba ngumqhubi oyintloko wokukhula kule minyaka mibini izayo. Ukusetyenziswa kwempahla, ebone ukubuyiswa kwenxalenye kwi-2024, kuya kwanda kakhulu kwi-2025 ngenxa yezinga eliphantsi lenzala kunye neengeniso zangempela," bhala abahlalutyi be-BBVA ngo-Matshi 2025 umbono welizwe.
Uphuhliso lweziseko ezingundoqo, oluqalisa ukukhula, nalo luya kuphakamisa imfuno yokugquma kwemizi-mveliso. Iiprojekthi ezinkulu, njengesikhululo seenqwelomoya esitsha saseCartegena, kulindeleke ukuba kuqaliswe ukwakhiwa kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2025.
“Ugqaliselo lukarhulumente kwiziseko ezingundoqo, eziquka ezothutho, amandla kunye nezibonelelo zentlalo (izikolo nezibhedlele), luza kuhlala luyintsika esembindini yesicwangciso sezoqoqosho.Iiprojekthi ezibalulekileyo ziquka ukwandiswa kweendlela, iinkqubo zemetro kunye nokuphuculwa kwamazibuko,” batsho abahlalutyi baseGleeds.
"Icandelo lezemisebenzi yoluntu liqhubekile nokumangala ngokukhula nge-13.9% kwikota yesibini ka-2024 kuthotho lwalo oluhlengahlengisiweyo, kulandela iikota ezintlanu ezilandelelanayo. Nangona kunjalo, lihlala lilelona candelo libambekayo kuqoqosho luphela, limi ngama-36% ngaphantsi kwamanqanaba angaphambi kobhubhane," abahlalutyi beGleeds bongeza.
Abona badlali bakhulu kwimarike njengoko babekwe yiD&B ngaba balandelayo:
• I-Compania Global de Pinturas, eseMedellin, isebe lase-Antioquia, kunye ne-$ 219.33 yezigidi kwiintengiso zonyaka.
• I-Invesa, esekelwe e-Envigado, e-Antioquia, kunye ne-$ 117.62 yezigidi zeentengiso.
• I-Coloquimica, esekelwe eLa Estrella, e-Antioquia, kunye ne-$ 68.16 yezigidi kwiintengiso.
• I-Sun Chemical Colombia, esekelwe e-Medellin, e-Antioquia. nge-62.97 yezigidi zeedola kwiintengiso.
• I-PPG Industries Colombia, esekelwe e-Itagui, e-Antioquia, kunye ne-$ 55.02 yezigidi kwiintengiso.
Pharaguwayi
Phakathi kwamazwe aseLatin America ekulindeleke ukuba akhule ngokukhawuleza kakhulu yiParaguay, ecetywayo yokwandisa i-GDP yayo nge-4.2% kulo nyaka, emva kokukhula kwe-3.9% kunyaka odlulileyo, i-ECLAC ibika.
"I-GDP eParaguay iqikelelwa kwi-45 yeebhiliyoni zeedola ekupheleni kuka-2024 kwimimiselo yexabiso ye-GDP yangoku. Ujonge phambili kwi-2025, uqikelelo lubonisa ukuba uqikelelo lwe-GDP ye-Paraguay lwe-2025 lunokuba yi-46.3 yeebhiliyoni zeedola. Uqoqosho lwaseParaguay lukhule kumyinge wokukhula wonyaka we-6.1% kwiminyaka emine edlulileyo, i-Uruguay ibeka phambili kwi-2025 ye-GDP yelizwe, kwaye ibeka phambili kwi-World Economics ye-2025. Economics, abahlalutyi baseLondon.
Imveliso encinci iyaqhubeka ibe yinxalenye enkulu yoqoqosho lwaseParaguay. "I-BCP [iBhanki Enkulu yaseParaguay] iqikelela ukuba [i-2025] iya kuba nempumelelo kwishishini eParaguay, kugxininiswa kwicandelo le-maquila (indibano kunye nokugqiba iimveliso). Umbono weshishini ngokubanzi kukukhula kwe-5%" ibike i-H2Foz, ngoDisemba 2024.
Utyalo-mali lweziseko zophuhliso luya kunceda ngakumbi ukuvelisa eParaguay.
"I-OPEC Fund for International Development (ngoJanuwari) ibhengeze ukuba ibonelela nge-50 yezigidi zeerandi mboleko kwiParaguay ukuxhasana ngemali yokuvuselela, ukuphuculwa kunye nokugcinwa kweNational Route PY22 kunye neendlela zokufikelela kwisebe elisenyakatho yeParaguay yaseConcepción. Ixhaswe ngemali mboleko ye-135 yezigidi zeedola ezivela kwi-CAF (iBhanki yoPhuhliso ye-Economy yaseLatin America) kunye ne-Latin America Economy.
Iindlela kunye nokwakhiwa kwehotele entsha kuya kunceda iParaguay yandise imboni yezokhenketho, ekhula ngokukhawuleza, kunye neendwendwe ezingaphezu kwe-2.2 yezigidi, ngokwengxelo evela kwi-Senatur Secretariat yaseParaguay. "Idatha, ehlanganiswe ngokubambisana neCandelo lokuFuduka, ibonisa ukunyuka okukhulu kwe-22% ekufikeni kweendwendwe xa kuthelekiswa ne-2023," kubika i-Resumen de Noticias (RSN).
IiCaribbean
Njengommandla ongaphantsi, iCaribbean kulindeleke ukuba ibonise ukukhula kwe-11% kulo nyaka, xa kuthelekiswa ne-5.7% kwi-2024, ngokutsho kwe-ECLAC (Jonga i-ECLAC GDP itshathi yokubonisa). Kumazwe ali-14 athathwa njengenxalenye ye-sub-region, i-Guyana ixhonywe ukubonisa ukukhula okungaqhelekanga kwe-41.5% kulo nyaka, xa kuthelekiswa ne-13.6% ngo-2024, ngenxa yokwanda ngokukhawuleza kweshishini leoli elwandle apho.
IWorld Bank inikela ingxelo yokuba ubuncwane beoli negesi eGuyana “bungaphezu kwe-11,2 lamawaka ezigidi zemiphanda elingana neoli, kuquka uvimba wegesi yendalo omalunga ne-17 lamawaka ezigidi zezigidi zeekhibhikitha. Iinkampani ezininzi zeoyile zamazwe aphesheya ziyaqhubeka nokwenza utyalo-mali olukhulu, olukhokelele ekubeni kuqalwe ngo-2022 ukungxamiseka kokuveliswa kweoyile elizweni.
Isiphumo somoya wengeniso siya kunceda ukudala imfuno entsha yazo zonke iipeyinti kunye nezahlulo zokugquma. Ngelixa, ngokwembali, i-GDP yaseGuyana ngomntu ngamnye yayiphakathi kwezona zisezantsi eMzantsi Melika, ukukhula koqoqosho okumangalisayo ukusukela ngo-2020, umndilili we-42.3% kule minyaka mithathu idlulileyo, kuzise iGDP yomntu ngamnye ngaphezulu kwe-18,199 yeedola ngo-2022, ukusuka kwi-6,477 yeedola ngo-2019.
Iingxelo zebhanki.
Abona badlali bepeyinti bakhulu kunye neengubo zokwaleka kwingingqi engaphantsi, ngokokukhangela kweGoogle AI, kubandakanya:
• Abadlali beNgingqi: iLanco Paints & Coatings, Berger, Harris, Lee Wind, Penta, kunye neRoyal.
• Iinkampani zamazwe ngamazwe: PPG, Sherwin-Williams, Axalta, Benjamin Moore kunye neComex.
• Ezinye iinkampani eziqaphelekayo ziquka iRM Lucas Co. kunye neCaribbean Paint Factory Aruba.
Venezuwela
I-Venezuela iye yaba ngumbutho wezopolitiko eLatin America iminyaka emininzi, ngaphandle kobutyebi belizwe oyile kunye negesi, phantsi kolawulo lukaMongameli uNicolás Maduro. I-ECLAC iqikelela ukuba uqoqosho luzakukhula nge-6.2% kulo nyaka, xa kuthelekiswa ne-3.1% ngo-2024.
Ulawulo lukaTrump lunokuba luphosa amanzi abandayo kuloo ngqikelelo yokukhula kunye nesibhengezo sasekupheleni kukaMatshi ukuba i-United States iya kumisela i-25% yerhafu yokungenisa elizweni kulo naliphi na ilizwe elingenisa i-oyile yaseVenezuela, elinganiselwa kwi-90% yoqoqosho lwelizwe.
Isibhengezo serhafu size emva kokucinywa kwelayisenisi yakwaChevron ngoMatshi 4 ukufumana nokuvelisa ioli kweli lizwe. "Ukuba lo mlinganiso unwenwe kwezinye iinkampani - kubandakanywa i-Repsol yaseSpain, i-Eni yase-Italiya, kunye ne-Maurel & Prom yaseFransi-uqoqosho lwaseVenezuela lunokujongana nokuhla ngokukhawuleza kwemveliso yeoli ekrwada, ukunciphisa ukuhanjiswa kwepetroli, imarike yotshintshiselwano lwangaphandle ebuthathaka, ukuhla kwexabiso, kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso," ibala iCaracas Chronicles.
Umbutho weendaba ucaphula uhlengahlengiso lwamva nje lwembonakalo oluvela kwi-Ecoanalítica, “elindele ukuthotywa kwe-2% ukuya kwi-3% kwi-GDP ekupheleni kuka-2025, kunye nokuhla kwe-20% kwicandelo leoli. Abahlalutyi bayaqhubeka: "Zonke iimpawu zibonisa ukuba u-2025 uya kuba ngumceli mngeni ngakumbi kunokuba bekulindelwe ekuqaleni, kunye nokuhla okubukhali kwemveliso yexesha elifutshane kunye nokwehla kwengeniso yeoli."
Phakathi kwabathumeli abahamba phambili be-oyile yaseVenezuela yi-China, eyathi ngo-2023 yathenga i-68% yeoli ethunyelwa ngaphandle yiVenezuela, ngokutsho kohlalutyo lwe-2024 yi-US Energy Information Administration, ingxelo ye-EuroNews. Le ngxelo ibonisa ukuba: “ISpeyin, iIndiya, iRashiya, iSingapore neVietnam zikwaphakathi kwamazwe afumana ioli evela eVenezuela, ingxelo ibonisa.
I-EuroNews yathi: “Kodwa kwaneUnited States – phezu kwayo nje izohlwayo zayo nxamnye neVenezuela – ithenga ioli kwela lizwe.
Kwasekhaya, uqoqosho lusagxile ekuphuculweni kwezindlu, ekufuneka zinyuse imfuno yepeyinti yezakhiwo kunye neengubo. NgoMeyi ka-2024, urhulumente waseVenezuela waphawula isikhumbuzo seminyaka eli-13 yenkqubo yakhe ye-Great Housing Mission (GMVV), ebhiyozela ikhaya le-4.9 lesigidi esiziswe kwiintsapho zabasebenzi, ingxelo yeVenezuela. Le nkqubo inenjongo yokwakha amakhaya azizigidi ezisi-7 ngo-2030.
Ngelixa abatyali-mali baseNtshona banokuba neentloni malunga nokwanda kokuvezwa eVenezuela, iibhanki zamazwe amaninzi zixhasa iiprojekthi zeziseko zophuhliso, kubandakanya ibhanki yoPhuhliso yaseLatin America kunye neCaribbean (CAF).
Ixesha lokuposa: May-08-2025
